Bitcoin Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week and 30-Day Forecast
Bitcoin is the largest crypto asset, and its dollar price tracks real yields, Fed expectations and broader risk appetite. This page sets our bias, key levels and volatility ranges for BTC/USD as of 4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, with Bitcoin at $78,065.
Bitcoin is the largest crypto asset, and its dollar price tracks real yields, Fed expectations and broader risk appetite. This page sets our bias, key levels and volatility ranges for BTC/USD as of 4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, with Bitcoin at $78,065.
Key Takeaways
- As of 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC, Bitcoin trades at $78,065 and our bias is bearish.
- Base case (1–3 days): sell at market from $78,065, target $75,919; a move above $79,496 invalidates it.
- Alternative: sell a rebound into $79,286, target $77,693, with invalidation above $79,804.
- Our volatility range for 5 Nov is $75,708–80,191, and for the week to 8 Nov it is $73,056–82,358.
- The 30-day volatility range to 3 Dec is $61,015–88,980, an estimate rather than a price target.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Live Price Today
Live price: $78,053.83
The Fed held the funds rate at 3.75–4.00% (Federal Reserve, 28 Oct), and the 10-year yield was 4.91% on 2 Nov (Federal Reserve, 3 Nov). PCE inflation rose 3.6% y/y, while GDP grew 3.4% q/q in the advance estimate (BEA, 29 Oct). ISM manufacturing PMI printed 55.5 (ISM, 2 Nov), and JOLTs openings came in at 7.52M (BLS, 3 Nov). Factory orders rose 1.8% m/m (U.S. Census Bureau, 3 Nov). ISM Services PMI is still ahead, due at 15:00 UTC on 4 Nov (ISM).
Bitcoin is up 0.16% on the day at $78,065, inside a $75,733–78,190 range versus a previous close of $77,943. On D1 the trend is bearish, with price under EMA20 at $79,743 and EMA50 at $80,068; RSI (14) is at 41.2 and MACD is below its signal line.
Latest Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis for Today
BTC/USD is neutral on the H1 chart at $78,065 as of 4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, while price holds below resistance at $78,125. Nearest support is $77,822, and EMA20 at $77,379 still sits under the market. RSI (14) at 59.8 and MACD above its signal line leave room for a bounce, but the hour has no clear trend.
RSI (14): 59.8 · MACD: above signal · EMA20: $77,379 · EMA50: $77,435 · ATR (14): $534
As of 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC, BTC/USD trades at $78,065.27 with a bearish H4 trend, and sellers still press price below the EMA50 at $78,458. RSI (14) at 52.2 and MACD above its signal line leave room for a corrective bounce toward resistance at $79,286, while the path of least resistance points lower under that level. Nearest support sits at $77,693, with a broken descending trendline near $76,882.
RSI (14): 52.2 · MACD: above signal · EMA20: $77,680 · EMA50: $78,458 · ATR (14): $840
Key Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trading Plan for Today
Our base case (1–3 days): sell at market from $78,065, target $75,919; a move above $79,496 flips the bearish bias. Alternative: a sell limit on a rebound into $79,286 targets $77,693, with invalidation above $79,804. Both are H4 setups, and the path of least resistance points lower unless that base-case level gives way.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Forecast for Tomorrow
As of 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC, Bitcoin trades at $78,065, and our volatility range for the next day (5 Nov) points to $75,708–80,191, with the average at $76,992. That band is a volatility-based estimate, not a price target. Our base case stays a decline toward $75,919 over 1–3 days unless a move above $79,496 invalidates it; ISM Services PMI is still ahead at 15:00 UTC on 4 Nov (forecast 54.8, previous 54.9, ISM).
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Forecast for This Week
For 4–8 Nov our volatility range points to $73,056–82,358, average $76,992, and that span is an estimate of past moves rather than a target. Non Farm Payrolls on 6 Nov (forecast 65K, previous 29K, BLS) and the unemployment rate the same day (forecast 4.2%, previous 4.2%, BLS) are the main risk. Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary on 6 Nov is forecast at 48, matching the previous reading (University of Michigan). A payrolls surprise could leave the path of least resistance two-directional inside that range.
Upcoming Economic Events
Key USD events from the Investizo economic calendar; it lists events through 17 Nov 2026 so far.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Forecast for the Next 30 Days
Our base case into 3 Dec keeps Bitcoin heavy, with our 30-day volatility range at $61,015–88,980 and a midpoint near $76,969, not a price target. The dollar and real yields still set the backdrop after the Fed held the funds rate at 3.75–4.00% (Federal Reserve, 28 Oct). September PCE rose 3.6% y/y and core PCE 3.1% y/y, while GDP grew 3.4% in the advance estimate (BEA, 29 Oct). ISM manufacturing printed 55.5 (ISM, 2 Nov), and Treasury expects to borrow $618 billion this quarter (U.S. Treasury, 2 Nov). JOLTs openings are due on 3 Nov (forecast 7.13M, BLS) and ISM services on 4 Nov (forecast 54.8, ISM). Payrolls on 6 Nov (forecast 65K, previous 29K, BLS) and CPI on 10 Nov (previous 3.7% y/y, BLS) are the dates that can swing Fed expectations either way. On the weekly chart the trend is bearish; $80,000 is overhead resistance, while $75,000, $72,492 and $70,000 are the supports inside the range. A soft payrolls print cannot be ruled out as a bounce catalyst, but the path of least resistance points lower unless $77,870 gives way.
Volatility-based estimate, not a price target: 90th percentile of historical moves over the same number of days in the last 17 months of daily data, in ATR (14, D1) units, scaled by the current ATR; the average sits halfway to the base-case target.
As of 3 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, Bitcoin trades at $77,438.25 on a bearish weekly chart, below EMA50 at $78,306 and above EMA20 at $76,636. RSI (14) at 51.6 and MACD above its signal line leave the tape two-directional, with broken rising support near $84,903 overhead and $75,000 the nearest weekly support.
30-Day Scenarios
- Base case: while price holds below $77,870, we expect a drift toward $76,500 and then $75,000 by 3 Dec, inside the $61,015–88,980 volatility range.
- Bullish case: a breakout above $80,000 after payrolls on 6 Nov or CPI on 10 Nov opens $82,548, with $88,062 the upside target still inside the range.
- Bearish case: a breakdown below $75,000 on a firm payrolls or inflation print targets $72,492 and $70,000, above the range floor at $61,015.
Is Bitcoin a Good Investment?
Bitcoin still takes its direction from the dollar and Fed expectations rather than from a single crypto-specific catalyst. The FOMC kept the funds rate at 3.75–4.00% (Federal Reserve, 28 Oct), PCE inflation was 3.6% y/y (BEA, 29 Oct), and real GDP rose 3.4% in the third quarter (BEA, 29 Oct). Firm growth with sticky prices can leave real yields a headwind, unless payrolls on 6 Nov or the inflation data on 10 Nov soften the dollar. If you hold it, the risk is the swing itself: our 30-day volatility range of $61,015–88,980 is a historical-move estimate, not a price target.
Summary
Our base case on Bitcoin is bearish as of 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC, with the price at $78,065 and a 1–3 day target near $75,919. A move above $79,496 would invalidate that view. Payrolls on 6 Nov are the catalyst that could turn the near-term path the other way.
Bitcoin Price Analysis and Forecasting Methodology
Prices are Investizo MT4 quotes. Indicators: EMA20 and EMA50, RSI (14), MACD (12, 26, 9) and ATR (14), on H1, H4, D1 and weekly bars. Support and resistance come from swing highs and lows (clustered within a quarter of ATR) and round psychological numbers; trendlines connect swing points. The bias follows the H4 and daily trends (price and EMA20 against EMA50). Entries sit at a level, on a retest or on a break of a level; the stop is the level that invalidates the setup, and the target is the next level with at least 1.5 times the risk. Ranges for the next day, week and 30 days are volatility-based, as described under the 30-day table.
Sources
- Federal Reserve, 28 Oct 2026: The Federal Open Market Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3-3/4 to 4 percent.
- BEA, 29 Oct 2026: From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for September increased 3.6 percent.
- BEA, 29 Oct 2026: Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.4 percent in the third quarter of 2026.
- BEA, 29 Oct 2026: Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 3.1 percent from one year ago.
- Federal Reserve, 3 Nov 2026: The 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield was 4.91 percent on November 2, 2026.
- Federal Reserve, 28 Oct 2026: The Board of Governors voted unanimously to maintain the interest rate paid on reserve balances at 3.90 percent, effective October 29, 2026.
- Economic data: official statistics agencies and central banks via the Investizo economic calendar.
- Prices: Investizo MT4 quotes.
The trade levels, signals and forecasts in this article are calculated automatically from technical indicators and price history. They are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past performance and forecasts do not guarantee future results. Risk Warning: CFDs are complex financial products traded on margin. Trading CFDs is risky and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you understand the risks involved as you may lose all your invested capital.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Forecast FAQs
What is the Bitcoin price today?
As of 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC, Bitcoin trades at $78,065. The day is up $122, or 0.16%, from the previous close at $77,943, with the high at $78,190 and the low at $75,733. The market is open, and Bitcoin trades every day, so the next day is 5 Nov.
Will Bitcoin go up tomorrow?
Our base case does not look for a rise on the next day. The volatility range for 5 Nov points to $75,708–80,191, average $76,992, and that is an estimate, not a price target. A decline toward $75,919 remains our 1–3 day base case while price holds below $79,496.
What is the Bitcoin forecast for this week?
Our volatility range for 4–8 Nov points to $73,056–82,358, with the average at $76,992. The week is up 0.51% from the open at $77,669, and the bias stays bearish into payrolls on 6 Nov. A reading far from the 65K forecast could keep the move two-directional.
What level would change the bearish view?
The level that invalidates our base case is $79,496, the stop on the sell-at-market setup from $78,065. Below that, the 1–3 day target in our base case is $75,919. An alternative is a sell of a rebound at $79,286, targeting $77,693, with its own invalidation at $79,804.
Which US data matter for Bitcoin this week?
ISM Services PMI is due at 15:00 UTC on 4 Nov, with a forecast of 54.8 after 54.9 (ISM). Non Farm Payrolls and the unemployment rate follow at 13:30 UTC on 6 Nov (BLS), and Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary is at 15:00 UTC the same day, forecast 48 (University of Michigan). Real yields and Fed expectations remain the macro drivers; the 10-year yield was 4.91% on 2 Nov (Federal Reserve, 3 Nov).
Does Bitcoin stop trading over the weekend?
No. The market is open as of 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC, and Bitcoin trades through Saturday and Sunday as well as weekdays. The next day in view is 5 Nov. Our week range still runs to 8 Nov, with payrolls on 6 Nov the main scheduled risk.
Khaled Kamal is a Market Analyst & Business Development Manager at Investizo with several years of experience in the financial services industry. His areas of focus include forex markets, trading strategies, risk management, copy trading and the practical aspects of financial markets.
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